Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 133.140671 146.269890 159.669936 174.342459 189.929305 205.966850 223.688567
2025-05-25 109.604991 129.061684 149.844656 173.578554 199.813875 227.813661 259.840390
2025-06-01 92.700148 116.520313 143.055337 174.513297 210.496783 250.090818 296.665626
2025-06-08 80.330458 107.329321 138.586638 176.895088 222.026635 272.977031 334.304698
2025-06-15 72.743580 102.647431 138.460110 183.614747 238.134818 300.983935 378.037272
2025-06-22 64.735139 96.421704 135.641445 186.441150 249.191100 322.916682 414.805447
2025-06-29 57.093579 89.752925 131.506188 186.998654 257.024891 340.753296 446.680277
2025-07-06 51.151759 84.640443 128.768970 188.813689 266.046948 359.828841 480.026598
2025-07-13 47.582122 82.357552 129.396942 194.689923 280.021553 384.958973 520.881805
2025-07-20 43.640639 79.113734 128.387837 198.150959 290.757286 406.046201 556.895014
2025-07-27 40.952283 77.407660 129.257796 203.950354 304.441434 430.860855 597.692448
2025-08-03 38.008372 75.009104 128.917973 207.934263 315.663150 452.580249 634.768955
2025-08-10 32.095304 67.468994 120.827348 200.972608 312.273119 455.726752 648.775065
2025-08-17 27.823611 62.116751 115.550879 197.621057 313.493953 464.705361 670.210746
2025-08-24 24.772606 58.481067 112.580340 197.341994 318.763512 478.930530 698.461471
2025-08-31 22.531395 56.012925 111.214741 199.254383 326.993087 497.081642 731.928445
2025-09-07 21.546444 55.728182 113.242167 206.188238 342.317059 524.820551 778.151319
2025-09-14 19.842897 53.895222 112.628750 209.060814 351.877110 544.894362 814.491819
2025-09-21 17.867415 51.292969 110.558510 209.564923 357.970169 560.279729 844.735775
2025-09-28 16.323469 49.367938 109.473424 211.477468 366.039066 578.367683 878.668529
2025-10-05 15.619158 49.118927 111.212854 217.806635 380.587020 605.440501 924.787910
2025-10-12 14.569165 47.995322 111.339804 221.533727 391.324601 627.339374 964.134140
2025-10-19 13.966059 47.792904 113.054326 227.792018 405.840238 654.558503 1010.803874